UPDATED: 09-08-25 10:43 PDT

men Duke 1
  
Duke                  
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 97.1260

Schedule/Results All Games

Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 201 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 8- 9, 89.8) 26- 7 208 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 92.5) 14- 9 215 H St Josephs Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 95.0) 11- 9 222 H Michigan B1G ( 7- 7, 95.7) 8- 7 228 H Princeton Ivy (12- 3, 98.0) 14-15 302 H Penn Ivy ( 4-10, 94.3) 11- 6 308 H Air Force ASUN ( 8- 7, 92.3) 16-11 312 H Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 93.9) 16-10 315 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.4) 13-12 322 N Denver Big East ( 7- 7, 94.4) 5-13 329 A Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 98.3) 7-14 405 A Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 11- 8 412 H No Carolina ACC (10- 4, 97.3) 7- 8 419 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 97.5) 11- 7 426 A Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.8) 10- 9 502 N No Carolina ACC (10- 4, 97.3) 14- 7 504 N Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 97.5) 8- 9 510 H Georgetown Big East (10- 5, 95.6)

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction. N/A when ten  |
               |         goal limit is exceeded    |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   201 H Bellarmine             26- 7      19     8           0.00
   208 A Jacksonville           14- 9       5     4           1.20
   215 H St Josephs             11- 9       2     3          -0.94
   222 H Michigan                8- 7       1     2          -1.25
   228 H Princeton              14-15      -1     0          -1.00
   302 H Penn                   11- 6       5     4           1.28
   308 H Air Force              16-11       5     6           0.00
   312 H Providence             16-10       6     4           0.91
   315 A Richmond               13-12       1    -1    +      2.11
   322 N Denver                  5-13      -8     3    ---   -7.75
   329 A Notre Dame              7-14      -7    -2    -     -3.00
   405 A Boston Univ            11- 8       3     1    +      2.12
   412 H No Carolina             7- 8      -1     1          -1.66
   419 H Syracuse               11- 7       4     0    +      3.54
   426 A Virginia               10- 9       1     0           0.50
   502 N No Carolina            14- 7       7     0    ++     5.20
   504 N Syracuse                8- 9      -1     0          -0.60

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   322 N Denver                  5-13      -8     3    ---   -7.75
   329 A Notre Dame              7-14      -7    -2    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 N No Carolina            14- 7       7     0    ++     5.20
   315 A Richmond               13-12       1    -1    +      2.11
   405 A Boston Univ            11- 8       3     1    +      2.12
   419 H Syracuse               11- 7       4     0    +      3.54

Duke Evaluation

The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria: 
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent Who Gets
the Point?
Head-2-Head
Point
Common Opponent
Point
Power Rating
Point
Air Force Duke Duke  
Albany Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Army Army insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) Army
Bellarmine Duke Duke  
Binghamton Duke   Duke
Boston Univ Duke Duke  
Brown Duke Duke   3- 1 vs 1- 3
Bryant Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Bucknell Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Canisius Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Cleveland St Duke insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) Duke
Colgate Duke Duke   3- 1 vs 0- 3
Cornell Cornell Cornell   5- 0 vs 3- 3
Dartmouth Duke tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Duke
Delaware Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Denver Denver Denver  
Detroit Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Drexel Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Fairfield Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Georgetown Duke insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) Duke
Hampton Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Harvard Duke tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) Duke
High Point Duke Duke   5- 1 vs 1- 4
Hobart Duke Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Hofstra Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Duke
Holy Cross Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Iona Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Jacksonville Duke Duke  
JHU Duke Duke   4- 3 vs 2- 3
Lafayette Duke insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) Duke
Le Moyne Duke   Duke
Lehigh Duke Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3
LIU Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Loyola Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Manhattan Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Duke
Marist Duke Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Marquette Duke insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) Duke
Maryland Maryland insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 1) Maryland
UMass Duke insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) Duke
Mass-Lowell Duke   Duke
Mercer Duke Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Mercyhurst Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Merrimack Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Michigan Duke Duke  
Monmouth Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Mt St Marys Duke   Duke
Navy Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
NJIT Duke   Duke
No Carolina No Carolina tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 2) No Carolina
Notre Dame Notre Dame Notre Dame  
Ohio State Ohio State Ohio State   6- 0 vs 4- 2
Penn Duke Duke  
Penn State Penn State tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) Penn State
Princeton Princeton Princeton  
Providence Duke Duke  
Queens Duke Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3
Quinnipiac Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) Duke
Richmond Duke Duke  
Rob Morris Duke Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2
Rutgers Duke Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3
Sacred Heart Duke tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) Duke
Siena Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
St B'venture Duke Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3
St Johns Duke Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3
St Josephs Duke Duke  
Stony Brook Duke insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) Duke
Syracuse Syracuse tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) Syracuse
Towson Duke Duke   3- 1 vs 0- 3
UMBC Duke insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) Duke
Utah Duke Duke   5- 2 vs 2- 4
Vermont Duke insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) Duke
Villanova Duke insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) Duke
Virginia Duke Duke  
VMI Duke   Duke
Wagner Duke   Duke
Yale Duke insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) Duke

PowerWise = 66


division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34

 Date  Opponent          (W-L  PR)      SCORE       SAFE        SAFE       Home       No Games           SCI              
                                                    Loss        Win       Field      Correction         Points            
                                                    SLP         SWP     Advantage      Factor                       
                                                      
   0 H Bellarmine      ( 8- 9, 89.8)    26- 7      -10.12       8.70      -0.86         0.84             6.61
   0 A Jacksonville    ( 9- 5, 92.5)    14- 9       -7.44      11.38       0.86         0.84            10.32
   0 H St Josephs      ( 9- 6, 95.0)    11- 9       -4.86      13.96      -0.86         0.84            11.05
   0 H Michigan        ( 7- 7, 95.7)     8- 7       -4.17      14.65      -0.86         0.84            11.63
   0 H Princeton       (12- 3, 98.0)    14-15       -1.92      16.89      -0.86         0.84            -2.34
   0 H Penn            ( 4-10, 94.3)    11- 6       -5.64      13.17      -0.86         0.84            10.39
   0 H Air Force       ( 8- 7, 92.3)    16-11       -7.58      11.23      -0.86         0.84             8.75
   0 H Providence      ( 7- 8, 93.9)    16-10       -6.01      12.80      -0.86         0.84            10.07
   0 A Richmond        (13- 3, 97.4)    13-12       -2.52      16.29       0.86         0.84            14.47
   0 N Denver          ( 7- 7, 94.4)     5-13       -5.52      13.29      -0.00         0.84            -4.66
   0 A Notre Dame      ( 8- 4, 98.3)     7-14       -1.63      17.18       0.86         0.84            -0.65
   0 A Boston Univ     (11- 5, 95.4)    11- 8       -4.51      14.30       0.86         0.84            12.79
   0 H No Carolina     (10- 4, 97.3)     7- 8       -2.57      16.24      -0.86         0.84            -2.89
   0 H Syracuse        (11- 5, 97.5)    11- 7       -2.37      16.44      -0.86         0.84            13.14
   0 A Virginia        ( 6- 8, 95.8)    10- 9       -4.13      14.68       0.86         0.84            13.11
   0 N No Carolina     (10- 4, 97.3)    14- 7       -2.57      16.24      -0.00         0.84            13.70
   0 N Syracuse        (11- 5, 97.5)     8- 9       -2.37      16.44      -0.00         0.84            -2.00
                                                                                                        ------
                                                                                                       123.47

winning pts = 136.0161 losing points = -12.5436

             SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.

------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------