Duke 
W-L: (12- 5) PR = 97.1260
Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score
201 H Bellarmine ASUN ( 8- 9, 89.8) 26- 7
208 A Jacksonville ASUN ( 9- 5, 92.5) 14- 9
215 H St Josephs Atlantic 10 ( 9- 6, 95.0) 11- 9
222 H Michigan B1G ( 7- 7, 95.7) 8- 7
228 H Princeton Ivy (12- 3, 98.0) 14-15
302 H Penn Ivy ( 4-10, 94.3) 11- 6
308 H Air Force ASUN ( 8- 7, 92.3) 16-11
312 H Providence Big East ( 7- 8, 93.9) 16-10
315 A Richmond Atlantic 10 (13- 3, 97.4) 13-12
322 N Denver Big East ( 7- 7, 94.4) 5-13
329 A Notre Dame ACC ( 8- 4, 98.3) 7-14
405 A Boston Univ Patriot (11- 5, 95.4) 11- 8
412 H No Carolina ACC (10- 4, 97.3) 7- 8
419 H Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 97.5) 11- 7
426 A Virginia ACC ( 6- 8, 95.8) 10- 9
502 N No Carolina ACC (10- 4, 97.3) 14- 7
504 N Syracuse ACC (11- 5, 97.5) 8- 9
510 H Georgetown Big East (10- 5, 95.6)
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
201 H Bellarmine 26- 7 19 8 0.00
208 A Jacksonville 14- 9 5 4 1.20
215 H St Josephs 11- 9 2 3 -0.94
222 H Michigan 8- 7 1 2 -1.25
228 H Princeton 14-15 -1 0 -1.00
302 H Penn 11- 6 5 4 1.28
308 H Air Force 16-11 5 6 0.00
312 H Providence 16-10 6 4 0.91
315 A Richmond 13-12 1 -1 + 2.11
322 N Denver 5-13 -8 3 --- -7.75
329 A Notre Dame 7-14 -7 -2 - -3.00
405 A Boston Univ 11- 8 3 1 + 2.12
412 H No Carolina 7- 8 -1 1 -1.66
419 H Syracuse 11- 7 4 0 + 3.54
426 A Virginia 10- 9 1 0 0.50
502 N No Carolina 14- 7 7 0 ++ 5.20
504 N Syracuse 8- 9 -1 0 -0.60
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
322 N Denver 5-13 -8 3 --- -7.75
329 A Notre Dame 7-14 -7 -2 - -3.00
|
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
502 N No Carolina 14- 7 7 0 ++ 5.20
315 A Richmond 13-12 1 -1 + 2.11
405 A Boston Univ 11- 8 3 1 + 2.12
419 H Syracuse 11- 7 4 0 + 3.54
|
Duke Evaluation
The team that earns the point in the pair-wise comparison is based on three criteria:
first is head-to-head, the winner gets the point, however, if they did not play each
other, than it considers w-l versus common opponents. If their records are tied or they
have no common opponents, than the tie-breaker becomes the better power rating.
The Common Opponent Point list in the table below has the record of the winner followed by the
record of the loser for all common opponents
Opponent |
Who Gets the Point?
| Head-2-Head Point |
Common Opponent Point |
Power Rating Point |
Air Force |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Albany |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Army |
Army |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 1) |
Army |
Bellarmine |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Binghamton |
Duke |
|
 
| Duke |
Boston Univ |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Brown |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 1 vs 1- 3 |
|
Bryant |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Bucknell |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Canisius |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Cleveland St |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 1)( 1- 2) |
Duke |
Colgate |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Cornell |
Cornell |
|
Cornell   5- 0 vs 3- 3 |
|
Dartmouth |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Duke |
Delaware |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Denver |
Denver |
Denver |
 
| |
Detroit |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Drexel |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Fairfield |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Duke |
Georgetown |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 2)( 2- 3) |
Duke |
Hampton |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Harvard |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 5- 2) ( 5- 1) |
Duke |
High Point |
Duke |
|
Duke   5- 1 vs 1- 4 |
|
Hobart |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Hofstra |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Holy Cross |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Iona |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Jacksonville |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
JHU |
Duke |
|
Duke   4- 3 vs 2- 3 |
|
Lafayette |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 0)( 2- 1) |
Duke |
Le Moyne |
Duke |
|
 
| Duke |
Lehigh |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
LIU |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Duke |
Loyola |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Manhattan |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Marist |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Marquette |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 2)( 3- 3) |
Duke |
Maryland |
Maryland |
|
insuffient: ( 4- 3)( 5- 1) |
Maryland |
UMass |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 2- 0)( 1- 1) |
Duke |
Mass-Lowell |
Duke |
|
 
| Duke |
Mercer |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Mercyhurst |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Merrimack |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Michigan |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Monmouth |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Mt St Marys |
Duke |
|
 
| Duke |
Navy |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Duke |
NJIT |
Duke |
|
 
| Duke |
No Carolina |
No Carolina |
|
tied - ( 5- 3) ( 5- 2) |
No Carolina |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
Notre Dame |
 
| |
Ohio State |
Ohio State |
|
Ohio State   6- 0 vs 4- 2 |
|
Penn |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Penn State |
Penn State |
|
tied - ( 1- 1) ( 1- 1) |
Penn State |
Princeton |
Princeton |
Princeton |
 
| |
Providence |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Queens |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
Quinnipiac |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 2) |
Duke |
Richmond |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Rob Morris |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 0 vs 0- 2 |
|
Rutgers |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
Sacred Heart |
Duke |
|
tied - ( 1- 0) ( 1- 0) |
Duke |
Siena |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
St B'venture |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 0 vs 0- 3 |
|
St Johns |
Duke |
|
Duke   2- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
St Josephs |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
Stony Brook |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 1)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Syracuse |
Syracuse |
|
tied - ( 3- 2) ( 3- 1) |
Syracuse |
Towson |
Duke |
|
Duke   3- 1 vs 0- 3 |
|
UMBC |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 0)( 0- 1) |
Duke |
Utah |
Duke |
|
Duke   5- 2 vs 2- 4 |
|
Vermont |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 0- 2) |
Duke |
Villanova |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 3- 1)( 2- 2) |
Duke |
Virginia |
Duke |
Duke |
 
| |
VMI |
Duke |
|
 
| Duke |
Wagner |
Duke |
|
 
| Duke |
Yale |
Duke |
|
insuffient: ( 1- 2)( 2- 1) |
Duke |
PowerWise = 66

division Games Only
Average number of games used in Games Correction = 14.34
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Bellarmine ( 8- 9, 89.8) 26- 7 -10.12 8.70 -0.86 0.84 6.61
0 A Jacksonville ( 9- 5, 92.5) 14- 9 -7.44 11.38 0.86 0.84 10.32
0 H St Josephs ( 9- 6, 95.0) 11- 9 -4.86 13.96 -0.86 0.84 11.05
0 H Michigan ( 7- 7, 95.7) 8- 7 -4.17 14.65 -0.86 0.84 11.63
0 H Princeton (12- 3, 98.0) 14-15 -1.92 16.89 -0.86 0.84 -2.34
0 H Penn ( 4-10, 94.3) 11- 6 -5.64 13.17 -0.86 0.84 10.39
0 H Air Force ( 8- 7, 92.3) 16-11 -7.58 11.23 -0.86 0.84 8.75
0 H Providence ( 7- 8, 93.9) 16-10 -6.01 12.80 -0.86 0.84 10.07
0 A Richmond (13- 3, 97.4) 13-12 -2.52 16.29 0.86 0.84 14.47
0 N Denver ( 7- 7, 94.4) 5-13 -5.52 13.29 -0.00 0.84 -4.66
0 A Notre Dame ( 8- 4, 98.3) 7-14 -1.63 17.18 0.86 0.84 -0.65
0 A Boston Univ (11- 5, 95.4) 11- 8 -4.51 14.30 0.86 0.84 12.79
0 H No Carolina (10- 4, 97.3) 7- 8 -2.57 16.24 -0.86 0.84 -2.89
0 H Syracuse (11- 5, 97.5) 11- 7 -2.37 16.44 -0.86 0.84 13.14
0 A Virginia ( 6- 8, 95.8) 10- 9 -4.13 14.68 0.86 0.84 13.11
0 N No Carolina (10- 4, 97.3) 14- 7 -2.57 16.24 -0.00 0.84 13.70
0 N Syracuse (11- 5, 97.5) 8- 9 -2.37 16.44 -0.00 0.84 -2.00
------
123.47
|
winning pts = 136.0161 losing points = -12.5436
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction. ------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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